Friday, January 13, 2012

Infosys Q3 FY12 Results – Is the 8.4% fall justified?

Consolidated results for the quarter ended December 31, 2011 were reported by Infosys today. The highlights of the same are:

1) Revenues were Rs 9,298 crore for the quarter ended December 31, 2011; QoQ growth was 14.8%; YoY growth was 30.8%
2) Net profit after tax was Rs 2,372 crore for the quarter ended December 31, 2011; QoQ growth was 24.4%; YoY growth was 33.3%
3) Earnings per share (EPS) was Rs 41.51 for the quarter ended December 31, 2011; QoQ growth was 24.4%; YoY growth was 33.3%

The results beat most of the market expectation. But the flat earnings projection (QoQ) for the last quarter of the year owing to volatile economic environment especially in the Euro zone dampened the mood and the stock of the company fell 8.4% by the end of the trading session. Now the question is: Is this fall justified?
Let us take a look at the Q4 guidance given by Infosys:
1)     Revenues are expected to be in the range of Rs 9,391 crore and Rs 9,412 crore
2)     Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be Rs 42.12

Although this is almost flat QoQ, but if we consider the YoY implications of this guidance, revenues are expected to grow by 29.5% to 29.8% and EPS by 32.4%. This is a rather impressive YoY growth which was last seen during FY2008-09 for Infosys. For the past two years, the EPS growth was rather sluggish as compared to this. But is this stock fall owing to a drastic reduction in value of the company?